Monday, July 21, 2014

Stock market is wrong because the global economy is weakening

When I travel and look around economies, I don’t see the global economy strengthening, I see it weakening. 

We are now in the fifth year of an economic recovery which began in June 2009 in the U.S. and we’re more than in the fifth year of a bull market that began on March 6, 2009. 

This is a very mature economic recovery. It would seem to me that the monetary policies that central banks pursue are negative for economic growth, but they are positive for asset price increases. As a result of asset price increases, lots of goods have become unaffordable for the typical household.