Tuesday, March 11, 2014

This bull market has gone for very far

This is the second longest bull market in the last 100 years. These are all signs of a top, so I wouldn’t buy shares here. I’m not interested.
Can the market go up another 20 percent? Perhaps.

I wasn’t interested in buying the Nasdaq in late 1999, but between January and March 2000, the NASDAQ went up another 30%. Of course, people were crying shortly thereafter when they realized their losses.

So, the markets go up and down. I think that the upside potential for most stocks is very limited now and there is considerable downside risk. Probably more downside risk than investors realize.